Friday, 21 October 2011

Key Conferences in India

APPLICATION OF GAME THEORY
International Conference to Honour Prof CR Rao:                                                       Meeting of Great Minds

Application of Game theory to Policies  and Decisions 12-14 December 2011, Convention Centre Merriot Hotel, Hyderabad. Also a Seminar at CU Raj on 15 December 2011.
Game theory Workshop/Conference at ISI Chennai, Conference: 5-7 January 2012, and also to attend the Workshop, 3-4 January 2012).




INTERNATIONAL EVEN OF SEMINAR AT IIC, New Delhi


Priyadarshani-Secretary                                                                                                                                           Guru-Alpana

Participation in SAMBHAV 2011, an International Event of Seminar, Exhibition and Performing Art for Physically and Mentally Challenged Persons  11-14 November  2011 (http://www.alpana.in). Also see:




22nd Annual Conference of The International Environmetrics Society
Jointly Organized by:
CRRAO AIMSCS,
UOH Campus
Gachibowli Hyderabad India 
University of Hyderabad
Gachibowli, Hyderabad
India

In Association with
   INTERNATIONAL STATISTICAL INSTITUTE

Workshop 1-2nd Jan 2012, Conference 3-6th  Jan 2012
Theme:
Environmental Challenges facing developed and developing countries in a Globalized World: Quantitative approaches to Comprehensive Solutions


Indian Econometrics Society Meeting to host its Annual Conference on 9-11 Jan 2012 Punducherry: Prof Biswajit Chatterjee takes over as its New President. Special Guest Lecture to Honour Late Suresh Tendulker Mrs Suresh Tendulker Invited 
http://tiesindia.net/call_for_papers2.htm




Monday, 10 October 2011

Stimulus Without Letting Double Entry

Book-keeping Taketh It Away - Fear of Double Dip Recession

HD Vinod is a professor of economics and director of the Institute for Ethics and Economic Policy at Fordham University, New York. He received his Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University, has worked at Bell Laboratories for many years, and has been an expert witness in major antitrust trials. He has published over a hundred articles in top journals in econometrics and statistics, including EconometricaJournal of EconometricsJournal of the American Statistical Association,Management ScienceAmerican Economic ReviewReview of Economics and Statistics,International Economic Review,Journal of Economic Literature,Journal of Business, and Journal of Advertising Research. He has edited special issues and refereed many journals. In 1992 he was elected Vice-President of Indian Econometrics Society and edited a special issue of JQE on CR Rao's Contribution to Economertrics. In 1996, he was named a fellow of the Journal of Econometrics. Maharashtra Foundation honored him for outstanding social service in 1998. Vinod coauthored a 1981 research monograph on regression methods and a 2005 Wiley monograph, "Preparing for the worst: Incorporating downside risk in stock market investing." He co-edited volume 11 of the Handbook of Statistics with C. R. Rao, the famous statistician. Vinod manages a worldwide anti-corruption project described at: www.fordham.edu/economics/vinod.
Double entry book-keeping (DEBK) is responsible for failures of both monetary and fiscal policies in both America and Japan, trapped by the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates, or the liquidity trap. This essay is based on my academic paper available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1916361. I show that, under DEBK, whatever stimulus the government give it also take away." Hence we need a single entry net stimulus explained below.
DEBK, invented by Venice merchants in the 13th century, requires that every stimulus dollar from a tax cut or government spending (credit entry giveth) is matched by a dollar of `debit' entry (taketh away). American public and businesses correctly worry that any debit entry leading to new debt will have to be serviced," with the added burden of interest payments in the future. In the absence of any net stimulus, many US corporations are holding huge cash reserves, some of it abroad, but they do not spend it by hiring people.
Since interest rates cannot go below zero, the monetary policy has no ammunition to ght recessions and get out of the ZLB trap. Bank of Japan (BOJ) invented quantitative easing, which was copied by the Federal Reserve (Fed) as QE1 and QE2. This increases the money supply by rejiggering holdings of Treasury securities to reduce the short-term interest rates. QE stimulus increases the money supply (giveth), but the public knows that DEBK will eventually take it away, by having to decrease money supply at a later date, dollar for dollar.
In short, sophisticated market participants know that DEBK means there can be no net stimulus, even if hundreds of billions of dollars are involved in tax cuts, government spending or QE.
Since about 1990, Japan has been mired in near-zero economic growth hurting the world economic growth. The twenty plus years of sad experience of BOJ proves that any stimulus within the con nes of DEBK is no net stimulus at all. We have shown why it does not and cannot work.
Instead of increasing domestic demand, Japan exported her problems to the US, while maintaining high domestic employment. Until recently, American consumers willingly participated by spending binges which provided an engine for world growth. Inevitably, the spending and importing binges have created serious imbalances. More recently, China has joined her Asian neighbor by pursuing export-driven high domestic employment, while ignoring the imbalances arising from artificially propping up the US dollar. 
Recently published minutes of the August 9 meeting of Fed bankers shows rare dissent and a clear sense of helplessness. However, no one seems to recognize that DEBK is the real culprit. Once we understand the enemy, our solution must suspend the DEBK and create a net stimulus by spending and tax cuts of, say one trillion dollars. Since DEBK is not in the US Constitution, it can and should be disobeyed. Decades long Japan-style permanent recession is too high a price to pay for a mere nicety.
If President Obama and Ben Bernanke jointly announce a single entry net stimulus, it will be a bold move, somewhat similar to Nixon's cancellation in 1971 of direct convertibility of the United States dollar to gold. Nixon had a short drama of wage and price controls to sell his unilateral cancellation of Bretton Woods. Obama and Bernanke would need to convince that the net stimulus will cure the imbalances. That is, US consumers will save more and import less, while reducing mismanagement, waste and conflicts of interest" in several key sectors.
Among macroeconomic problems, President Carter faced high inflation and stagnation. It needed the then Fed chairman Paul Volcker to impose 20% per year federal funds rate in June 1981 to break the back of inflationary expectations. By comparison, my net stimulus is almost painless. It will cause some devaluation of the dollar creating angry creditors (China, Japan, etc) and hurt sectors that depend on imports. It will also encourage rising gold prices, and price inflation in the US. This is a small price to reduce unemployment and get the US economy growing again.
My net stimulus solution would have been and still remains mostly painless for Mr. Noda of Japan. The pain of depreciation in the value of Yen is exactly what Japan has wanted all along. Instead, Mr. Noda promises
cutting the Japanese spending and debt, decidedly wrong policies.

Sunday, 11 September 2011

9/11 and the Imperial Mentality


Looking Back on 9/11 a Decade Later

We are approaching the 10th anniversary of the horrendous atrocities of September 11, 2001, which, it is commonly held, changed the world. On May 1st, the presumed mastermind of the crime, Osama bin Laden, was assassinated in Pakistan by a team of elite US commandos, Navy SEALs, after he was captured, unarmed and undefended, in Operation Geronimo.
A number of analysts have observed that although bin Laden was finally killed, he won some major successes in his war against the U.S. "He repeatedly asserted that the only way to drive the U.S. from the Muslim world and defeat its satraps was by drawing Americans into a series of small but expensive wars that would ultimately bankrupt them," Eric Margolis writes. "'Bleeding the U.S.,' in his words." The United States, first under George W. Bush and then Barack Obama, rushed right into bin Laden’s trap... Grotesquely overblown military outlays and debt addiction... may be the most pernicious legacy of the man who thought he could defeat the United States” -- particularly when the debt is being cynically exploited by the far right, with the collusion of the Democrat establishment, to undermine what remains of social programs, public education, unions, and, in general, remaining barriers to corporate tyranny.
That Washington was bent on fulfilling bin Laden’s fervent wishes was evident at once. As discussed in my book 9-11, written shortly after those attacks occurred, anyone with knowledge of the region could recognize “that a massive assault on a Muslim population would be the answer to the prayers of bin Laden and his associates, and would lead the U.S. and its allies into a ‘diabolical trap,’ as the French foreign minister put it.” 
The senior CIA analyst responsible for tracking Osama bin Laden from 1996, Michael Scheuer, wrote shortly after that “bin Laden has been precise in telling America the reasons he is waging war on us. [He] is out to drastically alter U.S. and Western policies toward the Islamic world,” and largely succeeded: “U.S. forces and policies are completing the radicalization of the Islamic world, something Osama bin Laden has been trying to do with substantial but incomplete success since the early 1990s. As a result, I think it is fair to conclude that the United States of America remains bin Laden’s only indispensable ally.” And arguably remains so, even after his death.
The First 9/11
Was there an alternative? There is every likelihood that the Jihadi movement, much of it highly critical of bin Laden, could have been split and undermined after 9/11. The “crime against humanity,” as it was rightly called, could have been approached as a crime, with an international operation to apprehend the likely suspects. That was recognized at the time, but no such idea was even considered.
In 9-11, I quoted Robert Fisk’s conclusion that the “horrendous crime” of 9/11 was committed with “wickedness and awesome cruelty,” an accurate judgment. It is useful to bear in mind that the crimes could have been even worse. Suppose, for example, that the attack had gone as far as bombing the White House, killing the president, imposing a brutal military dictatorship that killed thousands and tortured tens of thousands while establishing an international terror center that helped impose similar torture-and-terror states elsewhere and carried out an international assassination campaign; and as an extra fillip, brought in a team of economists -- call them “the Kandahar boys” -- who quickly drove the economy into one of the worst depressions in its history. That, plainly, would have been a lot worse than 9/11.
Unfortunately, it is not a thought experiment. It happened. The only inaccuracy in this brief account is that the numbers should be multiplied by 25 to yield per capita equivalents, the appropriate measure. I am, of course, referring to what in Latin America is often called “the first 9/11”: September 11, 1973, when the U.S. succeeded in its intensive efforts to overthrow the democratic government of Salvador Allende in Chile with a military coup that placed General Pinochet’s brutal regime in office. The goal, in the words of the Nixon administration, was to kill the “virus” that might encourage all those “foreigners [who] are out to screw us” to take over their own resources and in other ways to pursue an intolerable policy of independent development. In the background was the conclusion of the National Security Council that, if the US could not control Latin America, it could not expect “to achieve a successful order elsewhere in the world.”
The first 9/11, unlike the second, did not change the world. It was “nothing of very great consequence,” as Henry Kissinger assured his boss a few days later.
These events of little consequence were not limited to the military coup that destroyed Chilean democracy and set in motion the horror story that followed. The first 9/11 was just one act in a drama which began in 1962, when John F. Kennedy shifted the mission of the Latin American military from “hemispheric defense” -- an anachronistic holdover from World War II -- to “internal security,” a concept with a chilling interpretation in U.S.-dominated Latin American circles.
In the recently published Cambridge University History of the Cold War, Latin American scholar John Coatsworth writes that from that time to “the Soviet collapse in 1990, the numbers of political prisoners, torture victims, and executions of non-violent political dissenters in Latin America vastly exceeded those in the Soviet Union and its East European satellites,” including many religious martyrs and mass slaughter as well, always supported or initiated in Washington. The last major violent act was the brutal murder of six leading Latin American intellectuals, Jesuit priests, a few days after the Berlin Wall fell. The perpetrators were an elite Salvadorean battalion, which had already left a shocking trail of blood, fresh from renewed training at the JFK School of Special Warfare, acting on direct orders of the high command of the U.S. client state.
The consequences of this hemispheric plague still, of course, reverberate.
From Kidnapping and Torture to Assassination
All of this, and much more like it, is dismissed as of little consequence, and forgotten. Those whose mission is to rule the world enjoy a more comforting picture, articulated well enough in the current issue of the prestigious (and valuable) journal of the Royal Institute of International Affairs in LondonThe lead article discusses “the visionary international order” of the “second half of the twentieth century” marked by “the universalization of an American vision of commercial prosperity.” There is something to that account, but it does not quite convey the perception of those at the wrong end of the guns.
The same is true of the assassination of Osama bin Laden, which brings to an end at least a phase in the “war on terror” re-declared by President George W. Bush on the second 9/11. Let us turn to a few thoughts on that event and its significance.
On May 1, 2011, Osama bin Laden was killed in his virtually unprotected compound by a raiding mission of 79 Navy SEALs, who entered Pakistan by helicopter. After many lurid stories were provided by the government and withdrawn, official reports made it increasingly clear that the operation was a planned assassination, multiply violating elementary norms of international law, beginning with the invasion itself.
There appears to have been no attempt to apprehend the unarmed victim, as presumably could have been done by 79 commandos facing no opposition -- except, they report, from his wife, also unarmed, whom they shot in self-defense when she “lunged” at them, according to the White House.
A plausible reconstruction of the events is provided by veteran Middle East correspondent Yochi Dreazen and colleagues in the Atlantic. Dreazen, formerly the military correspondent for the Wall Street Journal, is senior correspondent for the National Journal Group covering military affairs and national security. According to their investigation, White House planning appears not to have considered the option of capturing bin Laden alive: “The administration had made clear to the military's clandestine Joint Special Operations Command that it wanted bin Laden dead, according to a senior U.S. official with knowledge of the discussions. A high-ranking military officer briefed on the assault said the SEALs knew their mission was not to take him alive.”
The authors add: “For many at the Pentagon and the Central Intelligence Agency who had spent nearly a decade hunting bin Laden, killing the militant was a necessary and justified act of vengeance.” Furthermore, “capturing bin Laden alive would have also presented the administration with an array of nettlesome legal and political challenges.” Better, then, to assassinate him, dumping his body into the sea without the autopsy considered essential after a killing -- an act that predictably provoked both anger and skepticism in much of the Muslim world.
As the Atlantic inquiry observes, “The decision to kill bin Laden outright was the clearest illustration to date of a little-noticed aspect of the Obama administration's counterterror policy. The Bush administration captured thousands of suspected militants and sent them to detention camps in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Guantanamo Bay. The Obama administration, by contrast, has focused on eliminating individual terrorists rather than attempting to take them alive.” That is one significant difference between Bush and Obama. The authors quote former West German Chancellor Helmut Schmidt, who “told German TV that the U.S. raid was ‘quite clearly a violation of international law’ and that bin Laden should have been detained and put on trial,” contrasting Schmidt with U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder, who “defended the decision to kill bin Laden although he didn't pose an immediate threat to the Navy SEALs, telling a House panel... that the assault had been ‘lawful, legitimate and appropriate in every way.’"
The disposal of the body without autopsy was also criticized by allies. The highly regarded British barrister Geoffrey Robertson, who supported the intervention and opposed the execution largely on pragmatic grounds, nevertheless described Obama’s claim that “justice was done” as an “absurdity” that should have been obvious to a former professor of constitutional law. Pakistan law “requires a colonial inquest on violent death, and international human rights law insists that the ‘right to life’ mandates an inquiry whenever violent death occurs from government or police action. The U.S. is therefore under a duty to hold an inquiry that will satisfy the world as to the true circumstances of this killing.”
Robertson usefully reminds us that “[i]t was not always thus. When the time came to consider the fate of men much more steeped in wickedness than Osama bin Laden -- the Nazi leadership -- the British government wanted them hanged within six hours of capture. President Truman demurred, citing the conclusion of Justice Robert Jackson that summary execution ‘would not sit easily on the American conscience or be remembered by our children with pride... the only course is to determine the innocence or guilt of the accused after a hearing as dispassionate as the times will permit and upon a record that will leave our reasons and motives clear.’”
Eric Margolis comments that “Washington has never made public the evidence of its claim that Osama bin Laden was behind the 9/11 attacks,” presumably one reason why “polls show that fully a third of American respondents believe that the U.S. government and/or Israel were behind 9/11,” while in the Muslim world skepticism is much higher. “An open trial in the U.S. or at the Hague would have exposed these claims to the light of day,” he continues, a practical reason why Washington should have followed the law.
In societies that profess some respect for law, suspects are apprehended and brought to fair trial. I stress “suspects.” In June 2002, FBI head Robert Mueller, in what the Washington Post described as “among his most detailed public comments on the origins of the attacks,” could say only that “investigators believe the idea of the Sept. 11 attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon came from al Qaeda leaders in Afghanistan, the actual plotting was done in Germany, and the financing came through the United Arab Emirates from sources in Afghanistan.”
What the FBI believed and thought in June 2002 they didn’t know eight months earlier, when Washington dismissed tentative offers by the Taliban (how serious, we do not know) to permit a trial of bin Laden if they were presented with evidence. Thus, it is not true, as President Obama claimed in his White House statement after bin Laden’s death, that “[w]e quickly learned that the 9/11 attacks were carried out by al-Qaeda.”
There has never been any reason to doubt what the FBI believed in mid-2002, but that leaves us far from the proof of guilt required in civilized societies -- and whatever the evidence might be, it does not warrant murdering a suspect who could, it seems, have been easily apprehended and brought to trial. Much the same is true of evidence provided since. Thus, the 9/11 Commission provided extensive circumstantial evidence of bin Laden’s role in 9/11, based primarily on what it had been told about confessions by prisoners in Guantanamo. It is doubtful that much of that would hold up in an independent court, considering the ways confessions were elicited. But in any event, the conclusions of a congressionally authorized investigation, however convincing one finds them, plainly fall short of a sentence by a credible court, which is what shifts the category of the accused from suspect to convicted.
There is much talk of bin Laden's “confession,” but that was a boast, not a confession, with as much credibility as my “confession” that I won the Boston marathon. The boast tells us a lot about his character, but nothing about his responsibility for what he regarded as a great achievement, for which he wanted to take credit.
Again, all of this is, transparently, quite independent of one’s judgments about his responsibility, which seemed clear immediately, even before the FBI inquiry, and still does.
Crimes of Aggression
It is worth adding that bin Laden’s responsibility was recognized in much of the Muslim world, and condemned. One significant example is the distinguished Lebanese cleric Sheikh Fadlallah, greatly respected by Hizbollah and Shia groups generally, outside Lebanon as well. He had some experience with assassinations. He had been targeted for assassination: by a truck bomb outside a mosque, in a CIA-organized operation in 1985. He escaped, but 80 others were killed, mostly women and girls as they left the mosque -- one of those innumerable crimes that do not enter the annals of terror because of the fallacy of “wrong agency.” Sheikh Fadlallah sharply condemned the 9/11 attacks.
One of the leading specialists on the Jihadi movement, Fawaz Gerges, suggests that the movement might have been split at that time had the U.S. exploited the opportunity instead of mobilizing the movement, particularly by the attack on Iraq, a great boon to bin Laden, which led to a sharp increase in terror, as intelligence agencies had anticipated. At the Chilcot hearings investigating the background to the invasion of Iraq, for example, the former head of Britain’s domestic intelligence agency MI5 testified that both British and U.S. intelligence were aware that Saddam posed no serious threat, that the invasion was likely to increase terror, and that the invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan had radicalized parts of a generation of Muslims who saw the military actions as an “attack on Islam.” As is often the case, security was not a high priority for state action.
It might be instructive to ask ourselves how we would be reacting if Iraqi commandos had landed at George W. Bush's compound, assassinated him, and dumped his body in the Atlantic (after proper burial rites, of course). Uncontroversially, he was not a “suspect” but the “decider” who gave the orders to invade Iraq -- that is, to commit the “supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole” for which Nazi criminals were hanged: the hundreds of thousands of deaths, millions of refugees, destruction of much of the country and its national heritage, and the murderous sectarian conflict that has now spread to the rest of the region. Equally uncontroversially, these crimes vastly exceed anything attributed to bin Laden.
To say that all of this is uncontroversial, as it is, is not to imply that it is not denied. The existence of flat earthers does not change the fact that, uncontroversially, the earth is not flat. Similarly, it is uncontroversial that Stalin and Hitler were responsible for horrendous crimes, though loyalists deny it. All of this should, again, be too obvious for comment, and would be, except in an atmosphere of hysteria so extreme that it blocks rational thought.
Similarly, it is uncontroversial that Bush and associates did commit the “supreme international crime” -- the crime of aggression. That crime was defined clearly enough by Justice Robert Jackson, Chief of Counsel for the United States at Nuremberg.  An “aggressor,” Jackson proposed to the Tribunal in his opening statement, is a state that is the first to commit such actions as “[i]nvasion of its armed forces, with or without a declaration of war, of the territory of another State ….” No one, even the most extreme supporter of the aggression, denies that Bush and associates did just that.
We might also do well to recall Jackson’s eloquent words at Nuremberg on the principle of universality: “If certain acts in violation of treaties are crimes, they are crimes whether the United States does them or whether Germany does them, and we are not prepared to lay down a rule of criminal conduct against others which we would not be willing to have invoked against us.”
It is also clear that announced intentions are irrelevant, even if they are truly believed. Internal records reveal that Japanese fascists apparently did believe that, by ravaging China, they were laboring to turn it into an “earthly paradise.” And although it may be difficult to imagine, it is conceivable that Bush and company believed they were protecting the world from destruction by Saddam’s nuclear weapons. All irrelevant, though ardent loyalists on all sides may try to convince themselves otherwise.
We are left with two choices: either Bush and associates are guilty of the “supreme international crime” including all the evils that follow, or else we declare that the Nuremberg proceedings were a farce and the allies were guilty of judicial murder.
The Imperial Mentality and 9/11
A few days before the bin Laden assassination, Orlando Bosch died peacefully in Florida, where he resided along with his accomplice Luis Posada Carriles and many other associates in international terrorism. After he was accused of dozens of terrorist crimes by the FBI, Bosch was granted a presidential pardon by Bush I over the objections of the Justice Department, which found the conclusion “inescapable that it would be prejudicial to the public interest for the United States to provide a safe haven for Bosch.” The coincidence of these deaths at once calls to mind the Bush II doctrine -- “already… a de facto rule of international relations,” according to the noted Harvard international relations specialist Graham Allison -- which revokes “the sovereignty of states that provide sanctuary to terrorists.”
Allison refers to the pronouncement of Bush II, directed at the Taliban, that “those who harbor terrorists are as guilty as the terrorists themselves.” Such states, therefore, have lost their sovereignty and are fit targets for bombing and terror -- for example, the state that harbored Bosch and his associate. When Bush issued this new “de facto rule of international relations,” no one seemed to notice that he was calling for invasion and destruction of the U.S. and the murder of its criminal presidents.
None of this is problematic, of course, if we reject Justice Jackson’s principle of universality, and adopt instead the principle that the U.S. is self-immunized against international law and conventions -- as, in fact, the government has frequently made very clear.
It is also worth thinking about the name given to the bin Laden operation: Operation Geronimo. The imperial mentality is so profound that few seem able to perceive that the White House is glorifying bin Laden by calling him “Geronimo” -- the Apache Indian chief who led the courageous resistance to the invaders of Apache lands. 
The casual choice of the name is reminiscent of the ease with which we name our murder weapons after victims of our crimes: Apache, Blackhawk… We might react differently if the Luftwaffe had called its fighter planes “Jew” and “Gypsy.”
The examples mentioned would fall under the category of “American exceptionalism,” were it not for the fact that easy suppression of one’s own crimes is virtually ubiquitous among powerful states, at least those that are not defeated and forced to acknowledge reality.
Perhaps the assassination was perceived by the administration as an “act of vengeance,” as Robertson concludes. And perhaps the rejection of the legal option of a trial reflects a difference between the moral culture of 1945 and today, as he suggests. Whatever the motive was, it could hardly have been security. As in the case of the “supreme international crime” in Iraq, the bin Laden assassination is another illustration of the important fact that security is often not a high priority for state action, contrary to received doctrine.
Newsviews is grateful to Tom Dispatch fro sharing his blog with us (see:TomDispatch.com)


Prof. Noam Chomsky is Institute Professor (retired) at MIT. He is the author of many books and articles on international affairs and social-political issues, and a long-time participant in activist movements. His most recent books include: 9-11: 10th Anniversary EditionFailed StatesWhat We Say Goes (with David Barsamian), Hegemony or Survival, and the Essential Chomsky.

Wednesday, 31 August 2011

Twelve days that Stared the Nation

Twelve days that Shook the Parliament
Ikra , Simran Break Anna's Fast 
People in India celebrated across the country as Anna Hazare ended his hunger strike on the 13th day with a sip of coconut water and honey on Sunday. His village Ralegaon-Siddhi joined the rest of the country in the joyous celebrations. The villagers supported Hazare through various forms of non-violent protests, sang and danced. Soon after Hazare broke his fast, supporters surged to the streets of major cities, Delhi, Mumbai, Chennai, Kolkata, Allahabad, Lucknow, Bhopal, Jaipur and in the country side. In Jaipur, people named a market after his name. The unprecedented enthusiastic response of the people to Anna’s fast against the corruption has stared the nation and shaken the insensitive the Indian parliament reminded me of  John Reed’s Ten Days that Shook the World represents one of the 20th Century’s greatest political-literary achievements, being one of the first book length eye-witness accounts of the great Russian October Revolution. 
Legacy of Independence
Anna Leads Young Generations
India saw end of British Raj on 15 August 1947 largely by nonviolence means.  A Constitutional Assembly was elected to draft the Constitution which turned out to be a hybrid version of Western Countries’ system of governance; namely the Parliamentary Democracy and the Presidential form of governments. The Constitution was adopted on the 26 January 1950 and is celebrated as a Republic day every year.  Although none of the founders of the Constitution lived long enough to rejoice their dreams of ‘tryst with dignity’ or new dream with so-called ‘growth story’ under changing face of Indian democracy from the slogan of socialism to neo- liberal crony capitalism that left India with corporate crimes and institutionalised corruption everywhere creating two Indias: Rich and Poor. 
Mass Agitation Against Land Acquisition
In Anna’s language, “Kuch log khane ke liye jee rahe hei and kuch jine ke liye kha rahe hei” and “kuch logo kon yeh chinta ha wo kya  khaynge or kuch log koyeh chinta he wo  kya kya khyen”, i.e.,  “those who live just to eat and others who eat just to live”, i.e., “Rich have many choices so their problem is what to eat and the poor are striving where to how to get something to eat”. The objective conditions are ripe enough and under the circumstances one would have expected a Bolshevik kind of revolution. However, due to highly disappointing and negative role of the left and  betraying  by the right the spirit of the constitution exemplified in the directive principle of State Policy and other feature of the Constitution, ”We the people....”.  Hence, the People have left with no viable alternatives.  Hence, the focus of the discontentment has shifted from real economic issues to more general issues, such as corruption concerns common man in everyday’s walk of life.
Full Anna Team
The above scenario has created a political vacuum which started filling up by the social activists and NGOs which resulted in formation of the Civil Society to voice opinion on behalf of the public.  Further, despite negative effect of the neo-liberal polices a few new things have emerged, such as enactment of the Right to Information Act, activation of the CAG and widespread use of social net working and mass media to expose a number of scams, for examples, G2, Congress on Mr Kalmandi, BJP in illegal mining, etc. These scams involved billions of dollars benefiting the politicians and bureaucracy combined with knowledge about existence of the parallel economy of black money highlighted the issue of corruption.  Although all the political parties continued to provide lip service to people for more than  4 decades they took no steps to eliminate corruption let alone eradicating poverty, unemployment and black money.  Our elected governments, both NDA and UPA formed with the support of right and left respectively let down the people of India. In fact, rather than addressing the common man’s problems some government started using force to suppress the growing popular agitations in the country side (http://newsviews-raceclass.bogpsot.com on the Supreme Court Decision on appointment of SPF by BJP Govt in Chhatishgarh).     
Preamble of the Constitution
Historically, main stream politicians whether left, right or centre never ever rejected the pledge in the Indian Constitution declaring India as a Socialist Republic. In fact until the 1980s everyone used feel proud of being progressive and ashamed of being branded as reactionaries or communal. However, since early 1990s with the inception of neo liberal policies by induction of Dr Manmohan Singh by late Narshima Rao, Prime-Minister of India, then he was, there has been dramatic shift in our foreign as well as domestic economic policies, departing from the goalpost of constructing a Socialist Republic set forth in the preamble of our constitution. This shift in policy created a great deal of wasted corporate interests, both at home and abroad due to foreign private investment. When Rao’s government got into trouble crises, it was a payback time for private interests and corporations as buying and selling of Parliamentarians commenced to make Mr Rao swim and his government survived.  Although corruption has been around for a long time this was for the first time it surfaced and Rao was tried on corruption charges.  Unfortunately, no lessons were learnt and under the neo-liberal policies a new middle-class developed in India which wanted to become rich overnight. The corruption grew in leaps and bounds and according to a conservative estimate, the size of black money increased from 27% to 43% since 1990s. In this context, Anna Hazare's name is being echoed all over India and he is being viewed as the crusader against corruption which is endemic in the society as India being on the list of one of the most corrupt countries in the world, ranks at No 70. Corruption scams in India are shaking public confidence in the system suggesting that India may face some short-term upheavals as the issue continues to play out. Eventually, this is what happened.
Anna’s Act I
Anna Hazare age 74, a social activist with Army background who fought in Indo-Pak war in 1965 and 1971. He hails from a small village near Puna and has achieved many milestones in his career. His mission did not stop there he turned into a Gandhian to bring about fundamental changes in the working of Indian democracy, corruption being one of them.  In fact, Anna’s good track record against corruption led to resignation of four ministers in Maharasthra government.  He was the first to start the campaign for RTI which became a reality in the State of Maharashtra in 2004.  Of course, it spread in other parts of India and latter RTI was adopted in Parliament. Some describe Anna as Gandhian and he is perceived that way.  However, he made it clear that if Gandhian methods did not work he would not rule out other methods of struggle pertinent to methods used by Chhatrapathi Shivaji.  In Ganhian sense, he would turn his cheek one time, but if someone takes advantage of this generosity, he would not hesitate to defend himself (Gandhigiri in Munnabhai Lage Raho).           
Anna started his first step towards Jan Lokpal bill on 5th April 2011 in Jantar Mantar, Delhi, where he demanded enactment of an anti-corruption Janlokpal Bill to give wider powers to the Ombudsman by bringing judiciary, the Prime-Minister and lower bureaucracy within its ambit. His first innings of fast attracted a huge support of people from all walks of life. Four days after he launched a fast that caught the feelings across India, iconic Gandhian leader Anna Hazare declared "victory" when the Government accepted his demands of drafting a Lokpal. The drafting committee was formed and an official Lokpal bill was introduced in the Parliament which kept out the Prime-Minister, lower bureaucracy, MPs and the judiciary which were included in the Civil Society’s Jan Lokpal Bill. This raged Team Anna and he declared for a second term of fast to start from 16th August 2011, if the Jan Lokpal Bills was not passed. 
Yoga Guru Ramdeo for Vindication 
Despite the forewarnings by Team Anna and many others UPA Government continued to ignore them. In the intervening period Yoga Guru Ram Deo set on hungers strike with huge support of his followers which was suppressed by surprised use of teargas and Lathi charge on the public. Inexperience Ramdeo Team could not handle the situation and movement collapsed. This gave UPA Govt over confidence and it felt that they could defeat Anna’s impending fast on 16 August too.  
Theatrical Anna Act II  
Kiran's Caricature
The second innings of Anna Hazare crusade against the corruption came with a twist as the Delhi Police denied him a Ram Lila ground for protest instead gave him Jaya Prakash Memorial Park for only 3 days and later arrested him on the premise of apprehension of breach of peace which sent fury all over the country as Anna’s supporters went protesting for his immediate release.  He was taken in Tihar jail on a seven days remand. Thousands of people gathered outside the jail to support Anna Hazare and his team. Some actors of the State, like Kapil Sibal, Chidamberan and Sheila Dixit continued to engage in procedural rhetoric that this was a decision of the Delhi police and being a decision of a statutory body Anna team is free to challenge it in the Court.  However, in view of mounting public pressure and protest soon Govt realized that judicial custody of Anna and his Team for 7 days with Mr Kalmandi, a corrupt govt nominee, has backfired.  Stunned by the People Power, authorities declared him free but the fasting soldier-turned-activist refused to walk out of the jail until he was allowed to hold his hunger strike unfettered. Government officials, students, commuters, taxis, tempo drivers and bystanders everyone was supporting Hazare and finally he was freed on 19th April. His agitation against corruption was termed as “second freedom struggle" by Anna Team. The area was flooded with people shouting slogans, waving the tricolour flags and donning caps and clothes that read 'Me Anna Hazare’, ‘India Against Corruption', ‘Anna Nahi, Doosra Gandhi he’, ‘Inqlab Zindabad’, etc.  The spacious Ramlila grounds in North Delhi emerged as the venue for Anna Hazare to hold his ‘indefinite fast’ for a strong anti-corruption law until 4 September 2011. 
Rhetorical  Act III

Ruling Class Loyal Somnath


Manishankar Aiyar, Cong. MP
Initially, both the Govt opinion led by Salam Khursheed, Law Minister and Kapil Sibal, Communication Minister and the opposition ignored Anna’s hunger strike and engaged into yet another technical wrangling and a procedural rhetoric claiming supremacy of the Parliament. The only sensible voice came from Mr. Manishankar Aiyar, a Rajya Sabha MP who said that main source of corruption is corporate sector which should be part of a strong Lokpal Bill. Despite this, the protest was gathering momentum and public pressure was mounting.  Pranab Mukherjee was called in as a trouble shooter and Anna team members were invited to discuss the Jan Lokpal Bill. A degree of enthusiasm was seen after the meeting and some unresolved issue were left for consideration on the following day.  However, no sooner the enthusiasm of Anna Team turned into a great disappointment.  Kiran Bedi, one of the stanch members of the Anna Team went on to say in public, “Yesterday they were listening to us. Today they were telling us (scolding us).  There was a difference of day and night”.  She was so much disgusted with the dubious conduct of the opposition that she had to make mock gesture about their duplicity. Although Anna was on the 9th day of his fast he stood up and called for a protest in front of houses of MPs calling them, ‘sub lutere hei’, i.e., ‘They all are looters’, and within a moment his message travelled like the electricity and people reached MPs houses to protest.  It was amazing as there was no organisation, no cadre and no telephone communication between the people and the Anna Committee except direct Anna’s word from the stage of Ramlila Maidan. Perhaps, social net working and media was beating the mighty power of the govt.  In the entire Saga, both the Govt and the MPs have shown a lack of sensitivity to a popular anti corruption moment and behaved irresponsibly although Lokpal Bill has been around for more than 40 years and appeared before the Parliament 8 times. Mr. Yechuri, Member of Rajya Sabha & CPM Politburo Member said that in 1996 Lokpal issue was a part of their minimum program with the UPA. He did not explain why he did not pressurise UPA govt for 4 years to take steps to bring a strong Lokpal. Rather, all parties MPs sought to pass a Bill giving them a budget of Rs 20 million (now increased to 50 million) each under the Local Area Development (LAD) which created wasted interests in the parliament. Since the MPs might also fall within the scope of Jan Lokpal Bill, no wonder, the entire parliament got united against one of the most popular movements since the independence. In general, members of the Parliament behaved irresponsibly and in that regard conduct of Kapil Sibal, Salman Khurshid, Sarad Yadav, Manish Tiwary, Laloo Prasad Yadav was highly deplorable and conduct of the opposition led by Sushma Swaraj and Mr Yechuri was wavering and far from clear.  Somnath Chatterjee, Ex-Speaker, appeared on NDTV from nowhere and played devil on behalf of the UPA although the attack was not on an individual but institutionalized corruption. i.e., system failed them.  Although people were sympathetic to him when he was expelled from CPM in retrospect it appears Prakash Karat was right in having expelled.  One wonders why he was in CPM at first place. 
People v Parliament  Act IV
Lord Maghnath Deasi, LSE
In course of Anna fast for Jan Lokpal Bill Govt and opposition hung on two things: (i) Members of Parliament are transcendental being and no one could dare criticise them in public domain or else they will be subjected to Parliamentary privilege notice, and (ii) Parliament is supreme and no one should be allowed flout its procedures. Unfortunately, their arguments are not only misplaced but their understanding of the parliamentary procedures and practice also falls short in many respects. As to first matter, those who chose to play a role in public domain are expected to close scrutiny by media and accountability to people even more than the management of a corporation to its shareholders. There are many authorities of law on this, in particular, the President of Ireland, Reynolds v Times Newspapers Ltd.  Since the comments made by Om Puri and Kiran Bedi were fair and reflexive of general perception of the public at large which she presented in a caricature style.  Anna called them, “Ye sab  Lootere hei”, but MPs could not dare to issue him privilege notice.  They got after Team members to break their morale, which is highest form of desperation. Therefore there is no question of parliamentary privilege. Hence, the privilege notices issued to Om Puri and Kiran Bedi are not only confirms the misperception of MPS that somehow they are above the people, but it also appears retaliatory. Lord Meghnath Desai, Professor at London School rightly said, “If you read newspapers in UK how they ridicules MPs, you will cry”. One of the female panellists also said right at the face of one of the initiators of privilege notice that, “They have lost sense of humour and need psychiatric help”.  She might face privilege notice too. Further, MPs are wrong on the notion of Supremacy of Parliament too as it is based on an old right wing Dicy theory of supremacy of Parliament viz-a-viz the judiciary, but not over the people.

In late 19th century, Gladstone and Disraeli introduced form of government placing limits on the use of child labour or preventing factories from emptying their effluent into rivers or the streets. The justification for such rules came mainly from three sources: (i) ‘just and fair’ insofar as it protects individuals from exploitation, (ii) poor health might adversely affect the productivity, and (iii) it would appear rational for society as a whole, for example the cost of ill health and death which might result from lack of control on pollution. By the 1930s, these rationale underpinned an immense network of government activities; a national health service, millions of publicly owned houses, government control of coal, steel, water, gas, and electricity industries; old age pensions, unemployment benefits; and free schooling for all children until the age of 15.  In Hayekian words, this represents a ‘substantive ideal of redistributive justice’, The Rule of Law in a Welfare State. 

The second theory, ‘social democracy’ emerged from the centre-left school of thought which is well explained by the American jurist Harry Jones in a seminal article in the Columbia Law Review, 1958.  However, social democracy is distinguished from the form of governments like socialism and communism which have their goal in establishing an egalitarian society
Although Indian democracy does not go as far as socialism or communism in the preamble of its Constitution it says as follows:
 PREAMBLE OF THE CONSTITUTION OF INDIA
“WE, THE PEOPLE OF INDIA, having solemnly resolved to constitute India into a SOVEREIGN SOCIALIST SECULAR DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC and to secure to all its citizens:
Although no theory of Constitution and Administrative Law has ever argued that the Parliament is above the people the preamble of our Constitution is very clear when it asserts, “We the people...” Hence, any suggestion by the MPS to the contrary is an insult to the Constitution.  One should remember that in the absence of people’s supervision over the Parliament democracy was derailed with the declaration of the State of Emergency by Mrs Gandhi in 1975. History has witnessed that a fascist Germany under Hitler emerged in the name of National Socialism with full sanction of the Parliamentary majority. Hence, divorce from technical procedures in public interest is not a dangerous game, but it is conducive to good health of functional democracy.  In fact, sometimes even constitution has to be amended to incorporate inspiration of the people as it was done in the 42nf Amendment by Indira Gandhi. Therefore, one can’t take a straight jacket view of the Constitution either.  
Mediators  Act V
Agnivesh sell out 
Anna single handed galvanized the people against corruption which attracted many religious and non religious dignitaries including Sri Sri, Yoga Guru Ramdeo, Yaddu Maharaj, and Valasrao Desmukh, former Chief Minister of Maharashtra who hold Anna in high esteem and previously amicably resolved his demands.  Govt on the other hand tried to pitch some other Lokpal Bills by Aruna Roy of NCPRI and Jaya Ram who appeared from nowhere to distract attention from Jan Lokpal Bill. Most dubious role played by one of the Anna allies Swami Agnivesh who was caught on the IPod making derogatory remarks about Anna calling him, “A mad elephant who does not listen” to his plea to call off fast unconditionally which would mean complete sell out (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s-ySAMiqPDI). Among all the mediators, Mr Desmukh appeared more credible as he delivered PM’s letter accepting Anna’s three conditions following the face saving unanimous resolution of the Parliament.      
Anna Hazare is currently recouping from his fast, but before leaving for hospital in Gudgaon he addressed public that his fifth is not yet over. It is only half the victory.  He would travel around the country to campaign for Election reforms to make provisions for the Right to Reject and the Right to recall.
Medha Katakar means Business
Jus. Hegde, Kheriwal Youth Icon 
Anna's close aide and social activist Medha Patkar said the passage of resolution by the Parliament over Janlokpal bill marks not the half victory but the first victory of the long struggle to be waged ahead. Talking to media persons, activist hailed the occasion and said it is has changed the equation between Parliament and people. Hazare broke his fast after drinking a glass of coconut water and honey offered to him by two girls, one of them named Ikrah. 
On the other hand Justice Santosh Hegde, one of the key aides of anti-corruption crusader Anna Hazare on Sunday said that a major hurdle has been crossed and for the time being he is happy that the parliament unanimously approved the three key demands of Hazare, namely; (i) Citizen Charter, (ii) lower bureaucracy to be included, and (iii) establishment of Lokapal at the State level . Speaking to the media persons, Although Hegde expressed his satisfaction as it was for the first time that the parliament had succumbed to the demands made by an outsider he was cautious against expecting miracle. The Parliament on Saturday backed landmark anti-corruption legislation, meeting Hazare's key demands.